Season 7, Episode 3

Another episode and more scoring.

• Bran is reunited with at least one family member but needs to work on people skills.
• Jaime fails to avenge his daughter’s poisoning. Clearly Euron and Cersei and Qyburn did all the work.
• The Queen of Thorns dies before extracting her revenge on Cersei. As cool as her death may have been, she could have claimed responsibility for killing Joffrey at any time. She pretty much got her ass kicked. Not revenge.

Greg put 99 percent on Bran’s reunion, and only 1 percent on Jaime’s avenging. But Erik pulls into first, having been relatively confident that Olenna would fail. Mahsoun and Ryan’s misplaced confidence in Jaime getting stuff done hurt enough to knock them down.

Pete and Becky are bringing up the rear— mostly because of Arya and Nymeria. They put 1 and 0.5 percent respectively on that reunion, and so were much more surprised last week.

Good luck next week!

Season 7, Episode 2 (Belated)

A week late getting out the update, but episode 2 scored on three items:

• The Sand Snakes lose control of Dorne even if Dorne does not know it, yet.
• Arya is reunited with Nymeria though very brief.
• Jorah finds a cure for his greyscale but he may not survive the treatment.

This puts Mahsoun in an early lead, with Erik and Greg just behind.

Episode 3 update coming shortly.

Season 7, Episode 1

Reminder: this season’s Dead Pool includes only folks on Arya’s list as of the start of the season. So nothing is settled as of yet. But while we are on the topic, who is on the list and still alive, anyway? I am open to evidence, but here is one list:

• Sandor Clegane
• Ser Gregor Clegane
• Cersei Lannister
• Ser Ilyn Payne
• Beric Dondarrion
• Melisandre
• Thoros of Myr

In any case, here are everyone’s expected end-of-season scores:

Again, this does not mean much. Each person’s score is based on the assumption that that individual’s assigned probabilities are the actual probabilities of each event. So even though Erik’s expected score is lower than everyone else’s, Erik still expects to win. This says merely that Erik expects to win with a lower score than Mahsoun expects his own winning score to be.

Good luck next week!