Season 7, Episode 1

Reminder: this season’s Dead Pool includes only folks on Arya’s list as of the start of the season. So nothing is settled as of yet. But while we are on the topic, who is on the list and still alive, anyway? I am open to evidence, but here is one list:

• Sandor Clegane
• Ser Gregor Clegane
• Cersei Lannister
• Ser Ilyn Payne
• Beric Dondarrion
• Melisandre
• Thoros of Myr

In any case, here are everyone’s expected end-of-season scores:

Again, this does not mean much. Each person’s score is based on the assumption that that individual’s assigned probabilities are the actual probabilities of each event. So even though Erik’s expected score is lower than everyone else’s, Erik still expects to win. This says merely that Erik expects to win with a lower score than Mahsoun expects his own winning score to be.

Good luck next week!